SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $27.92 ↑ 4.1% 81th %ile (fear) • KXNASDAQ100Y 0.5% — 19,000 to 19,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 0.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 19000 and 19499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 0.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 19000 and 19499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 81th in 90d range | Regime: fear

Why it matters

Volatility index at 78th percentile in fear regime with prediction market odds at 0.5%.

Sources

futures